時 間：2023年11月10日（周五）15:30

地 點：武漢大學星湖綜合實驗樓305

主講人：Paul A. Longley 英國社會科學院院士

題 目：Digital Twins and Demography 數(shù)字孿生與人口學

摘要：A digital twin is a virtual model designed to accurately reflect the form and functioning of a physical object. Attempts to extend the concept to replicate cities are limited by the use of aggregated data to represent the elemental human agents that live, work and take leisure in them. In this presentation we: (a) develop data driven approaches to model the gender, age and ethnic characteristics of individuals using unique consumer data sources; (b) reconcile these individual level predictions with social surveys and remotely-sensed data; and (c) assess the implications for geodemographic forecasting of social and economic change.

We also propose micro-scale demographic models to simulate the characteristics of individuals that are known to be missing from our representations. The resulting digital twins will be used to investigate issues such as residential segregation, residential mobility and the kaleidoscope of social change that characterises urban social areas.

Paul A. Longley教授，英國社會科學院院士, 英國皇家地理學會維多利亞獎章獲得者，英國倫敦大學學院(UCL)地理系教授，英國消費者大數(shù)據(jù)研究中心(CDRC)主任，以及國內外多所世界知名高校訪問教授。長期致力于地理信息系統(tǒng)科學的社會經濟應用、地理時空人口統(tǒng)計、家譜時空分析、城市建模和空間大數(shù)據(jù)等方面的研究。目前在Nature Communications、美國地理學會年刊和英國地理學會會刊等國際權威期刊上發(fā)表了170余篇經同行評審的學術論文，貢獻了79篇書籍章節(jié)，并撰寫了3本學術專著。其中專著Geographic Information Science and Systems多次再版且被翻譯為中文、韓文等版本，成為地理信息科學領域經典書籍和教材。曾擔任領域內高水平國際期刊Computers, Environment and Urban Systems和Environment and Planning B的主編，以及多個知名國際期刊的編委。

Professor Paul A. Longley is a Fellow of the Academy of Social Sciences (UK), recipient of the Victoria Medal from the Royal Geographical Society, and a Professor of Geographic Information Science at University College London (UCL). He serves as the Director of the Consumer Data Research Centre (CDRC) in the United Kingdom . He has also held visiting professorships at numerous renowned universities worldwide.Throughout his career, Professor Longley has dedicated his research to various aspects of geographic information science, including socioeconomic applications, spatiotemporal population statistics, genealogical spatiotemporal analysis, urban modeling, and spatial big data. He has authored over 170 peer-reviewed academic papers published in prestigious international journals such as Nature Communications, Annals of the American Association of Geographers, and Transactions of the Institute of British Geographers.His contributions extend to 79 book chapters and three academic monographs, with the English textbook "Geographic Information Science and Systems" being repeatedly reprinted and having been sold over 120,000 copies. It has also been translated into multiple languages, including Chinese and Korean, making it a classic in the field of geographic information science.